I’m anticipating some of the bigger cities in blue states will become Mad Maxxish. Part ghost town, part lawlessness. Decent taxpayers will no longer frequent downtown spots and then the money draws up. It will take massive federal funding to keep them afloat. We have a disaster brewing and our criminal leaders are playing some crooked ass politics. People better wake up fast.
If there's chaos like that anywhere, it will be almost everywhere. The only exceptions MIGHT be tight-knit, small communities where almost everyone knows each other. But if you're in a rural town of 15,000 in a red state like me, I fully expect our downtown area to go to shit and to have skinheads trucking around looking for easy prey
That's just the way humans work. Political ideology won't be enough to hold section of society or certain communities together when people don't have enough food to eat or they don't have heat in the winter. They're gonna get their guns and armor, this is the moment they've been waiting for--to go vigilante and patrol the streets shaking down innocent people for whatever they have.
That's why in the bug out thread I have posted some advice for people to stock up on food to survive for an extended period of time. The goal would be to not leave your house/land. Have camera traps on your land as well as .22 blank traps in the trees so if someone approaches they hit that wire and BANG you are alerted and ready to defend yourself. Anyway, this isn't the prepping thread.
I am talking about large home builders based in red states. They aren't advertising it. By all appearances looking around, everything on the surface looks like you describe, but I have some special insight into what these large players in the industry are starting to do, and this is just starting, so you will still see the farms being torn up for a little bit. They are anticipating a drastic change in the near future.
I mean, when was the last time we had slowing economic growth and increasing inflation? You probably are not old enough to remember, but you can go read about the 1970s. It was not pretty.
People in this thread keep saying "in red states" or "in blue states". I don't understand why any societal changes, whether it be large developers doing a sharp pivot on their strategy so as not to go out of business in the coming years, or whether it be some level of societal breakdown where people forgo the rules and just do what they feel they must to survive. To me, none of this is a red or blue state issue. Developers be developin' all over. They don't give a fuck about the politics of the state. If there's a metro area they can build up, you can be damn sure they will try. Farms that live near suburban areas are trying to sell their land for millions anyway because they want to finally retire.
I just think people should stop even mentioning red state or blue state in these topics. It's almost entirely irrelevant. I've lived in both a red and a blue state within the last year and both are developing like mad. We're talking a blue state metro area of ~600k people and then a red state rural area of ~15k people. Both are developing as much as possible--the only difference is the scale and that's primarily due to the size/population of the area and the amount of investors anyway--not because of some inherent different in red vs blue states.
Regardless of where you live, if you don't have a years worth of savings saved up, now's the time to start. If you don't have a years worth of food stocked up and the ability to access clean water if municipal water goes bye bye, then figure it out.
I feel like we're at a point in time where people's past experiences with buying vs renting are almost irrelevant. I bought my first property, a duplex, and rented out half. Then I got to live in a very nice 3 bed 3 bath for $600/month, not including utilities. Me and my girl did quite a lot of work to both sides, and I grossed over $200k when I sold it (net was about $180k). That enabled me to buy my dream property, which needs some work. I just can't buy a "ready to live in" house lmao. I feel it is a financial waste--just like I have never and could never buy a new car. I've had 6 figures in my
checking account (not for long, I moved it to other accounts, I'm not stupid) on more than one occasion and the thought of buying a new car never even crossed my mind, even though mine is 10 years old and has clear coat peeling off the hood. Hell, I didn't even think about replacing the hood or repainting, it--I just don't give a shit! lol. Now I own a beautiful house that need some work, which I will do myself, and even if the market drops 20%, even 30%, I am perfectly happy and comfortable with my purchase because:
1. I bought in a place with SUPER low property taxes. I pay like $2k a year on a $500k property...
2. I am adding value to the house. I anticipate the work me and my girl will do will end up adding $100-200k in the end. Yes that's a wide range, it depends wildly on the market.
The points is, by buying a house that needs work that I can force appreciation on, I can protect myself against a downturn to some degree. It's like if your work offers an employee stock program and you get to buy stock at a 15% discount. That means that even if the market says the stock is worth 10% less when you vest, you still made 5% (actually 7.64 due to the magic of math, but I won't get into that).
Or I could have kept renting a dump apartment that I hated and could hear the neighbors screaming at each other for fucking $1200 a month not including utilities and had maintenance issues that they wouldn't fix! That was for a dumpy 2 bedroom apartment AND it was $100 off because it was a sublet and the subletter put that as an incentive for the subletees (is that a word? lol). And that apartment was literally the best I could get without living in THE GHETTO where I or my girl was liable to have to shoot someone for trying to rob us for heroin money.
Buying my homes/properties that I also lived in has been the best thing I have ever done overall, it's added a quarter million to my net worth in a mere 5 years. Try to tell me that you were able to do that while renting and investing the money you save renting vs buying (keeping in mind that in MANY, MANY areas a mortgage is actually much cheaper than rent).
So I am all for buying a house, but you MUST, absolutely MUST learn your shit first. Learn how to fix things, listen to real estate podcasts enough that you understand forced appreciation and the market and how to analyze a property like an investment. The mistake most people make is that they buy a house because the wife loves the luxury kitchen and the husband thinks this place would make a GREAT man cave and the location is near the bus stop for the kids and it's got fancy toilets that have a special coating on them that make it so you NEVER have to clean them lmao (I just made that up haha). People should be buying an an investme