Ghoul
Member
It's an obvious problem.
But, that's not what is the real problem. The real problem—the one that has immediate impact on AAS & Raws—is the crack-downs/organ harvesting in China. It's whatever is happening in China that's affecting AAS/raw supply here—to us "average" buyers anyway.
You can still order from Temu or whatever. But, AAS and chemicals is what's impacted. It's hard to get reports from China because they're essentially closed-off to the rest of the world. And, if you could, trying to find reports on illegal chemical crack-downs is like a needle-in-a-haystack.
How the trade war shapes up will determine how & when flow from China will start again. If Trump backs off—which I believe he will—the chem companies "should" re-open and start manufacturing again.
For China, this was good timing for bad circumstances because of CNY... everybody just takes their time and enjoys the time off. Meanwhile, Trump needs to get this problem solved... he's got too many fights going on... and, one by one, lawsuit after lawsuit, it's all piling up. That's not good for him so early in his term.
Any conduit that reopens allowing Schedule III AAS from China to easily flow into the country in small packages will allow Schedule II fentanyl and its precursors and analogs (and machine gun parts) in as well.
There won't be any "backing down" to allow that again. Thats just self interested wishful thinking fueled by partisan delusion. It's going to get tighter, not looser from here. Any hole that's discovered will be brief and get slammed shut.
AAS will get in, just like fentanyl will get in. Both will be more difficult to smuggle. One is already hugely profitable for small amounts, the other is barely worth the effort and will have to become more expensive.
$35 kits of test and $200 kits of Primo 200 from China shipped to your door are never coming back.
It's more likely 6 months from now as domestic suppliers find it increasingly difficult to replenish raws, the "Olympics" never end, and it becomes obvious "normal" is not coming back, there will be people saying "I wish I bought in February when shit was so much cheaper."
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